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Thursday, April 16, 2009

Playing the odds!

I have been thinking a lot about "odds" for the past 24 hours. How I tend to defy them, either good or bad...

I had to have emergency surgery yesterday...for something that has the odds of happening to me 1:1000. It wasn't super serious, honestly it was just really annoying that it happened at all and I am doing fine, a little sore but overall well.

1:1000 women who have this initial procedure have this complication...that is pretty darn long odds if you ask me!

So it got me thinking...what are the long odds I have defied...let us examine...

Yarrow's birth complication: 1:699 births

Chance your homebirth will transfer to the hospital: 8%

Chance of a csection because of this transfer: >1% (yep, had this)

60% of second marriages fail within five years...our 6th anniversary is this May.

Chance of getting pregnant the first month you try: 25% (we did this twice!!)

Failure rate of using Fertility Awareness and withdraw for birth control 1:300 (say hello to Linus)

3% of teen moms obtain a college degree...I have a BA and a MA and I start a PhD this fall.


So at this point I'm thinking I really should be playing the lottery every week! How long do you think it would take for me to win??? A year?

I'll keep you posted...